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commentGrin and Bear it

March 17, 2008 – 6:21 am | by BizIntel

There’s nothing quite like a fire sale in the stock market - except, of course, when even the buyer (who just swapped a dime for a dollar) feels ill at ease with the transaction. Unfortunately, that seems to be the case now, as JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) announced yesterday that it was purchasing ailing giant Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) for the rock bottom price of 2 bucks a share.

Why So Cheap?

Bear Stearns is a product of the mortgage backed security implosion that has unfolded over the past year. The amount of mortgage securities it holds (which are essentially worthless) is in the billions - making bankruptcy certain in the absence of a buyout or government intervention.

The Fed, fearing a domino effect on Wall Street if the firm were to fold quickly, has been working hard to secure JP Morgan Chase as a buyer. They have even gone as far as putting up an unprecedented $30 billion in capital to finance Bear’s illiquid assets (i.e., mortgage backed securities). However, despite the Fed’s backing, management at JP Morgan is still sweating all of the uncertainty behind the deal. This was the key driver behind the firm’s per share offer price of $2.

Shareholder Mutiny Brewing

According to an article in The Wall Street Journal, Bear stockholders are extremely displeased with the buyout price. They argue that filing for bankruptcy is a much better option, as book value of the firm is believed to be far greater than $2 per share. Still, management position is that stockholders will agree to the deal (which is expected to close in June).

The Stock Market Reaction

All of this uncertainty and panic will send the major stock market indices lower. Even with an additional move by the Fed to lower the discount rate (which was also announced yesterday), the economy and the US dollar are in trouble. So, buckle up - I think we are in for a rough ride.

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